Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064532 0.071328 0.078757 0.087522 0.097627 0.108974 0.122759
2024-10-20 0.053926 0.063091 0.073912 0.087788 0.105341 0.127124 0.156719
2024-10-27 0.046318 0.056553 0.069371 0.086932 0.110909 0.143344 0.192108
2024-11-03 0.041562 0.052554 0.067010 0.087970 0.118587 0.163424 0.237740
2024-11-10 0.037930 0.049372 0.065050 0.088918 0.125933 0.184226 0.290311
2024-11-17 0.034672 0.046213 0.062572 0.088521 0.130900 0.202111 0.343479
2024-11-24 0.032372 0.044091 0.061229 0.089487 0.137989 0.224892 0.413589
2024-12-01 0.030448 0.042280 0.060076 0.090475 0.145138 0.249317 0.496802
2024-12-08 0.028744 0.040606 0.058905 0.091191 0.151817 0.274392 0.592865
2024-12-15 0.027094 0.038851 0.057394 0.091058 0.156794 0.297170 0.694763
2024-12-22 0.025449 0.036958 0.055454 0.089874 0.159435 0.315461 0.794438
2024-12-29 0.024506 0.036104 0.055147 0.091615 0.168348 0.350946 0.971049
2025-01-05 0.023052 0.034328 0.053143 0.089961 0.169877 0.369116 1.104224
2025-01-12 0.022124 0.033359 0.052461 0.090810 0.177211 0.405296 1.341128
2025-01-19 0.021059 0.032080 0.051114 0.090153 0.180940 0.432834 1.571339
2025-01-26 0.020344 0.031349 0.050692 0.091343 0.189402 0.477974 1.948718
2025-02-02 0.019667 0.030634 0.050231 0.092384 0.197731 0.526420 2.426664
2025-02-09 0.018866 0.029646 0.049171 0.091984 0.202210 0.563857 2.907894
2025-02-16 0.018294 0.029030 0.048772 0.093008 0.210842 0.620923 3.684041
2025-02-23 0.017764 0.028454 0.048401 0.094051 0.219805 0.684396 4.730414
2025-03-02 0.017239 0.027854 0.047934 0.094806 0.228137 0.750400 6.093621
2025-03-09 0.016659 0.027118 0.047134 0.094667 0.233727 0.807818 7.665764
2025-03-16 0.016012 0.026220 0.045939 0.093421 0.235562 0.848694 9.256205